What the Fed’s Next Move Could Mean for Mortgage Rates

What the Fed’s Next Move Could Mean for Mortgage Rates

Right now, everyone’s watching the Federal Reserve. Most economists predict they’ll cut the Federal Funds Rate during their mid-September meeting in an effort to prevent a potential recession.

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are already pricing this in, with nearly a 100% chance of a September cut. Current expectations show about a 92% likelihood of a modest 25-basis-point cut, and an 8% chance of a larger 50-point cut.

As Kim Morgan Storey, the Top 1 Real Estate Agent serving Tacoma, Puyallup, Auburn, Sumner, SeaTac, Des Moines, Burien, Normandy Park, Lake Tapps, and Bonney Lake, I help clients cut through the economic jargon to understand exactly how these shifts affect their monthly payments.

Wondering if you should lock in a rate now or wait?

Call Kim at 206-225-8325 for a free buyer consultation. Let’s look at the numbers and decide the best timing for you.

Why This Matters for Homebuyers and Sellers

The Federal Funds Rate isn’t the same as mortgage rates—it’s the short-term interest rate banks charge each other. But Fed policy heavily influences the direction mortgage rates take.

Mortgage rates often move ahead of the Fed’s official announcement. After weaker-than-expected jobs reports in August and early September, rates already inched lower as markets grew confident a cut was on the way. Even with inflation ticking slightly higher in the latest CPI data, the Fed is still expected to move forward.

If the cut ends up being just 25 basis points, it’s likely already factored into current mortgage rates. But if the Fed surprises with a 50-point cut, we could see a bigger drop in borrowing costs.

Curious how these rate changes impact your buying power in Auburn or Sumner?Call Kim for a market analysis. I can show you how much home you can afford today versus last month.

What Could Happen Next

Many experts believe the Fed may not stop with one cut. If the economy keeps cooling, we could see additional reductions before the end of 2025.

That could bring more affordability to buyers in Tacoma, Puyallup, Auburn, Sumner, SeaTac, Des Moines, Burien, Normandy Park, Lake Tapps, and Bonney Lake—markets where demand often shifts quickly when mortgage rates change.

As Sam Williamson, Senior Economist at First American, explains:

“For mortgage rates, investor confidence in a forthcoming rate-cutting cycle could help push borrowing costs lower in the back half of 2025, offering some relief to housing affordability and potentially helping to boost buyer demand and overall market activity.”

Thinking of selling before the competition heats up?Call Kim for a unique marketing plan for getting your home sold. I know how to position your home to attract buyers who are jumping back into the market as rates dip.

The Bottom Line

While no one can predict the economy with certainty, the Fed’s decisions this fall could set the stage for lower borrowing costs. That means more opportunities for both buyers and sellers in the months ahead.

Call Kim Morgan Storey today at 206-225-8325. Let’s make your next move a confident one.

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